Table 4

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression of mortality

VariableMortality as dependent variable (n=79)
UnivariateMultivariate*
OR (95% CI)P valueOR (95% CI)P value
Patient factors
Age1.04 (1.02 to 1.05)<0.0011.04 (1.02 to 1.05)<0.001
Sex (female)1.75 (0.947 to 3.07)0.060.975 (0.429 to 2.08)0.95
MOI (penetrating)0.298 (0.159 to 0.524)<0.0010.650 (0.242 to 1.63)0.37
GCS0.712 (0.667 to 0.755)<0.0010.763 (0.711 to 0.815)<0.001
SBP0.978 (0.972 to 0.984)<0.0010.985 (0.978 to 0.992)<0.001
HR0.972 (0.964 to 0.979)<0.001
Polytrauma1.35 (1.16 to 1.57)<0.0011.10 (0.901 to 1.33)0.35
Bleeding chest injury1.79 (0.834 to 3.50)0.11
Bleeding abdominal injury2.7 (1.32 to 5.14)0.004
Unstable pelvis1.49 (0.434 to 3.90)0.47
Peripheral bleeding injury5.18 (1.94 to 12.6)<0.001
Major vascular injury2.64 (1.55 to 4.38)<0.001
Clinician factors
<1 year experience1.00
1–5 years’ experience0.895 (0.421 to 1.72)0.75
5–10 years’ experience1.893 (0.609 to 4.50)0.23
>10 years’ experience3.06 (1.09 to 7.38)0.02
Base specialty: EM1.00
Base specialty: anesthetics0.702 (0.411 to 1.16)0.18
Base specialty: ICM0.5 (0.148 to 1.27)0.19
Clinician diagnostic uncertainty0.773 (0.316 to 1.62)0.53
Missed MH (FN)2.38 (0.943 to 5.27)0.043.333 (1.05 to 9.72)0.03
Environment factors
Nightshift1.71 (1.08 to 2.74)0.020.802 (0.424 to 1.51)0.49
  • Bleeding abdominal injury, peripheral bleeding injury, and major vascular injury excluded from the multivariate due to collinearity with missed MH (FN). Years experience was excluded due to df.

  • Referents in the model: for female sex was male; for penetrating MOI was blunt; for chest bleeding injuries, was no chest bleeding; for abdominal bleeding injuries, was no abdominal bleeding; for unstable pelvis, was stable pelvis; for peripheral bleeding injuries, was no peripheral bleeding; for major vascular injury, was no major vascular injury; for clinician experience, was <1 year; for clinician base specialty, was emergency medicine; for clinician diagnostic uncertainty, was certainty; for missed MH (FN), was combination of false positives, true positives and true negatives; nightshift was dayshift.

  • *Multivariate variables were limited to eight due to event rate of 79 patients.

  • †HR excluded from multivariate due to collinearity with SBP.

  • EM, emergency medicine; FN, false negative; GCS, Glasgow Coma Scale; HR, heart rate; ICM, intensive care medicine; MH, major hemorrhage; MOI, mechanism of injury; Polytrauma, number of Abbreviated Injury Score (AIS) body regions injured; SBP, systolic blood pressure.