Discussion
In this retrospective observational cohort study, COVID-19-positive status was associated with a decrease in likelihood of survival in patients arriving in hemorrhagic shock. These patients also experience a nearly twofold increased risk of major complications, including AKI, pneumonia, sepsis, VTE and SIRS. We were able to accept our hypothesis that, compared with hemorrhagic shock patients in whom COVID-19 is not detected, COVID-19 is associated with increased mortality and inpatient complications.
This finding corroborates a recent multicenter retrospective study matching 53 COVID-19-positive trauma patients to 106 patients without COVID-19.21 Yeates et al found that patients with detectable COVID-19 had increased mortality (9.4% vs 1.9%, p=0.029), pneumonia (7.5% vs 0.0%, p=0.011) and longer lengths of stay (7.47 vs 3.28 days, p<0.001). Similarly, a retrospective study of 4912 hospitalized trauma patients at Grady Memorial Hospital found a higher complication rate in their COVID-19-positive patients. The COVID-19 cohort had higher rates of AKI, sepsis, unplanned intubations and return to the ICU.22 Survival showed no difference, however. One key difference of this study was its more general trauma population with median ISS 11.9–13.5 compared with our patients in hemorrhagic shock (ISS 26). In other retrospective analyses, Klutts et al23 and Kaufman et al24 found longer lengths of stay in their COVID-19-positive trauma patients. This finding also correlates with our clinical experience early in the pandemic, when critically injured patients would appear to survive their initial episode of shock, to then experience multiple complications and sometimes multiorgan failure days to weeks later. This ‘third wave’ of mortality was previously part of the dreaded trimodal distribution of death after trauma. More recently, modern trauma systems with improved access to care and resuscitation strategies appeared to eliminate this late peak.25 26 To avoid a return of late ICU-stage mortality, at least in COVID-19 cases, requires a complex response that lies outside the purview of this study.
As with early reports in non-trauma patients with COVID-19,16 27–29 blood group O was associated in our study with a twofold increased survival among trauma patients presenting in hemorrhagic shock. How this association exists, and what therapeutic implications it may have, are areas of intense research activity. Interestingly, this finding of group O as protective for COVID-19 directly opposes a recently reported association of group O in trauma. A retrospective study followed by a prospective multicenter study12 13 found an association between group O and increased mortality after severe trauma. These studies’ findings directly conflict with other reports finding no difference in mortality between group O versus other blood groups,30–32 making it difficult to draw any conclusions regarding blood group effects on trauma outcomes at this time.
While a molecular description of the pathways underlying COVID and hemorrhagic shock was well beyond the design of this study, similarities seem to exist. Severe trauma, accompanied by hemorrhagic shock, produces systemic breakdown of the endothelial glycocalyx on the endoluminal surface of blood vessels.33–35 The glycocalyx, during early SARS-CoV-2 infection, suffers degradation through several inflammation pathways.36–38 Normally, the glycocalyx allows for interaction with intraluminal cells and large molecules while maintaining a barrier to whole cells and inhibiting inhibits platelet adhesion within the microvasculature.8 36 39 As COVID-19 progresses, however, glycocalyx disruption promotes microthrombosis, particularly within the pulmonary vasculature.40 Injury to the endothelial glycocalyx leads to interstitial edema, inflammation and tissue hypoxia.41 42 We are certainly not the only surgeons to note the biochemical similarities, however, and these similarities may open doors for intervention by way of proven trauma resuscitation strategies.43
While the study benefits from a robust, prospectively designed database tracking patients in hemorrhagic shock, its limitations are numerous. Overall power of the study is low given the short time span and small number of COVID-19-positive patients. As a single-center retrospective study, performed early in the COVID-19 pandemic, its results may not be generalizable. New variants continue to emerge, some with significantly different transmissibility and effects within the population.44–46 Vaccines were undergoing clinical trials at the time, so results in vaccinated individuals were unavailable for this study. The time frame of the study was chosen specifically to limit confounders such as vaccination status, but then the results may not apply to patients previously recovered from COVID-19 infection or those with multiple rounds of vaccination. Further study is ongoing to establish external validity of our findings. Not all patients were symptomatic despite positive NAAT. This may be partly explained by the difficulty in elucidating symptoms, or any history for that matter, from an unstable patient in hemorrhagic shock. No meaningful comparisons between symptomatic versus asymptomatic patients could be made. Selection bias is possible, given that some complication data (sepsis, pneumonia) were abstracted from notes, and the treatment team was reminded of patients’ COVID-19 status every time they entered the room in full personal protective equipment. Biochemical markers were not included in the study, which was designed in February 2020, just as early literature was being published regarding what biomarkers were potentially important in COVID-19 infection. Finally, 20% of the patients meeting inclusion criteria did not have NAAT results. While the 32 patients who died in the ED by definition could not have affected the secondary outcomes of complications, this part of the patient population directly affects the primary outcome of 30-day survival, raising the question of survival bias. The decision to exclude early deaths, however, focuses the study on the effects of COVID-19 on those patients who survive the initial traumatic insult.
The substantial increase in mortality associated with COVID-19 in cases of hemorrhagic shock should prompt early identification of infection and awareness of multiple complications associated with COVID-19 infection. Further research efforts are warranted to elucidate the pathologic mechanisms at play, in the hopes of identifying potential targets of intervention.